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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w3450 |
来源ID | Working Paper 3450 |
The Seasonal Cycle in U.S. Manufacturing | |
J. Joseph Beaulieu; Jeffrey A. Miron | |
发表日期 | 1990-09-01 |
出版年 | 1990 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper examines the seasonal cycle in the manufacturing sector of the U.S. economy. we present estimates of the seasonal patterns in monthly data for 2-digit industries, and we demonstrate the similarity of the seasonal cycle and the business cycle in manufacturing with respect to several key stylized facts about business cycles. The results are an important addition to those in Barsky and Miron (1989) because the monthly data for manufacturing display interesting seasonal fluctuations that are hidden in the quarterly data examined by Barsky and Miron. The most significant is a sharp slowdown in July followed by a significant rebound in August. We argue that this event is not easily explained by technology or preference shifts but instead results from synergies across economic agents. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Industrial Organization |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w3450 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/560742 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | J. Joseph Beaulieu,Jeffrey A. Miron. The Seasonal Cycle in U.S. Manufacturing. 1990. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w3450.pdf(413KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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