G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w3523
来源IDWorking Paper 3523
The Bubble of 1929: Evidence from Closed-End Funds
J. Bradford De Long; Andrei Shleifer
发表日期1990-11-01
出版年1990
语种英语
摘要Closed-end mutual funds provide one of the few cases in which economists can observe "fundamental" values directly, and compare them to market values: the fundamental value of a closed-end fund is simply the net asset value of its portfolio. We use the difference between prices and asset values of closed-end funds at the end of the 1920s as a measure of investment sentiment. In the late l920s closed-end funds sold at large premia: at the peak, they appear willing to pay 60 percent more for closed-end funds than the post-WWII norm. Such substantial overpricing of closed-end funds -- where fundamentals are known and observed -- suggests that other assets were selling at prices above fundamentals as well. The association between movements in the medium closed-end fund discount and movements in broad stock price indices leads us to conclude that the stocks making up the S & P composite were priced at least 30 percent above fundamentals in the summer of 1929.
主题Macroeconomics ; Other
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w3523
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/560812
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J. Bradford De Long,Andrei Shleifer. The Bubble of 1929: Evidence from Closed-End Funds. 1990.
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