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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w3613
来源IDWorking Paper 3613
Speculative Behavior in the Stock Markets: Evidence from the United States and Japan
Robert J. Shiller; Fumiko Kon-Ya; Yoshiro Tsutsui
发表日期1991-02-01
出版年1991
语种英语
摘要There have been enormous differences of opinion between U.S. and Japanese institutional investors about the outlook for stock prices, differences across the two countries in average one-year-ahead forecasts for the Japanese stock market as great as twenty percentage points. In the past two years most Japanese and U.S. institutional investors have had expectations for a reversal of trends in the stock market, and advised an investing strategy that depended on getting out of (or in to) the market before an anticipated market turnaround. These results, obtained from a number of questionnaire surveys in 1989 and 1990, help explain the relative lack of portfolio diversification across countries and show the short-term nature of speculative behavior.
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w3613
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/560920
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Robert J. Shiller,Fumiko Kon-Ya,Yoshiro Tsutsui. Speculative Behavior in the Stock Markets: Evidence from the United States and Japan. 1991.
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