G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/t0081
来源IDTechnical Working Paper 0081
The Influence Of Probability on Risky Choice: A parametric Examination
Pamela K. Lattimore; Joanna R. Baker; A. Dryden Witte
发表日期1992-08-01
出版年1992
语种英语
摘要The appeal of expected utility theory as a basis for a descriptive model of risky decision making has diminished is a result of empirical evidence which suggests that individuals do not behave in a manner consistent with the prescriptive tenets of EUT. In this paper, we explore the influence of probability on risky choice. by proposing and estimating a parametric model of risky decision making. Our results suggest that models which provide for probability transformations are most appropriate for the majority of subjects. Further. we find that the transformation differs for most subjects depending upon whether the risky outcomes are gains or losses. Most subjects are considerably less sensitive to changes in mid-range probability than is proposed by the expected utility model and risk-seeking behavior over "long-shot" odds is common
主题Industrial Organization
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/t0081
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/561479
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GB/T 7714
Pamela K. Lattimore,Joanna R. Baker,A. Dryden Witte. The Influence Of Probability on Risky Choice: A parametric Examination. 1992.
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