G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/t0128
来源IDTechnical Working Paper 0128
A Utility Based Comparison of Some Models of Exchange Rate Volatility
Kenneth D. West; Hali J. Edison; Dongchul Cho
发表日期1992-11-01
出版年1992
语种英语
摘要When estimates of variances are used to make asset allocation decisions, underestimates of population variances lead to lower expected utility than equivalent overestimates: a utility based criterion is asymmetric, unlike standard criteria such as mean squared error. To illustrate how to estimate a utility based criterion, we use five bilateral weekly dollar exchange rates, 1973-1989, and the corresponding pair of Eurodeposit rates. Of homoskedastic, GARCH, autoregressive and nonpararnetric models for the conditional variance of each exchange rate, GARCI-J models tend to produce the highest utility, on average. A mean squared error criterion also favors GARCH, but not as sharply.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; Globalization and International Relations
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/t0128
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/561561
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GB/T 7714
Kenneth D. West,Hali J. Edison,Dongchul Cho. A Utility Based Comparison of Some Models of Exchange Rate Volatility. 1992.
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