G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w5615
来源IDWorking Paper 5615
Roe v. Wade and American Fertility
Phillip B. Levine; Douglas Staiger; Thomas J. Kane; David J. Zimmerman
发表日期1996-06-01
出版年1996
语种英语
摘要We consider the effect of abortion legalization on births in the United States. A simple theoretical model demonstrates that the impact of abortion legalization on the birth rate is ambiguous, because both pregnancy and abortion decisions could be affected. We use variation in the timing of legalization across states in the early 1970's to estimate the effect of abortion on birth rates. Our findings indicate that states legalizing abortion experienced a 5% decline in births relative to other states. The decline among teens, women over 35, and nonwhite women was even greater: 13%, 8%, and 12% respectively. Out-of-wedlock births declined by twice as much as births in wedlock. If legalization in some states affected birth rates in neighboring states (through travel to obtain an abortion), comparing births between states will underestimate the actual reduction. Using more distant comparison states increases the estimated impact of abortion legalization on birth rates to about 8%. Applying this estimate to the current level of births, a complete recriminalization of abortion would result in 320,000 additional births per year.
主题Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w5615
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/563092
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Phillip B. Levine,Douglas Staiger,Thomas J. Kane,et al. Roe v. Wade and American Fertility. 1996.
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