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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w6480 |
来源ID | Working Paper 6480 |
Thresholds and Context Dependence in Growth | |
Atish R. Ghosh; Holger Wolf | |
发表日期 | 1998-03-01 |
出版年 | 1998 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Is there a single recipe for fast growth? Much of the recent cross-section empirical growth literature implicitly assumes there is. Yet both development and growth theory as well as casual empiricism suggest pervasive non-linearities in the growth process. Low inflation may grease the wheels of commerce' while high inflation may arrest them, secondary education may be crucial for promoting growth in open economies, but be largely ineffective in war-ravaged countries, etc. Such threshold effects and context dependence are difficult to capture in standard multivariate regressions, but are readily identified by classification tree analysis, undertaken here. Our results suggest that both types of non-linearities are indeed pervasive. The findings go some way towards explaining the limited robustness of cross-country growth regressions, and argue against the existence of a universal growth recipe. |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w6480 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/563997 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Atish R. Ghosh,Holger Wolf. Thresholds and Context Dependence in Growth. 1998. |
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