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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w6599
来源IDWorking Paper 6599
Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model
Bennett T. McCallum; Edward Nelson
发表日期1998-06-01
出版年1998
语种英语
摘要This paper reports results of simulation exercises that explore several questions relating to the design of rules for monetary policy. Emphasis is given to issues raised by the concept of rule operationality, i.e., reliance on feasible instrument variables and information sets. Many of the results pertain to rules of the Taylor type -- i.e., with an interest rate instrument set in response to inflation and output-gap measures -- but some are reported for rules using a nominal income target and/or a monetary base instrument. The macroeconomic model utilized is small in scale but features a specification designed to represent rational dynamic optimizing choices by the economy's private agents. Saving and portfolio-balance behavior are expressed by optimizing versions of exceptional IS and LM functions, with gradual price adjustments specified differently in two variants of the model. One variant uses the well-known Calvo-Rotemberg price adjustment relation, whereas the second employs a newly-rationalized version of the Mussa-McCallum-Barro-Grossman P-bar model. Parameter values are estimated by instrumental variables on U.S. quarterly data for 1995-1996.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w6599
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/564110
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Bennett T. McCallum,Edward Nelson. Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model. 1998.
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