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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w7219
来源IDWorking Paper 7219
The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows
Geert Bekaert; Campbell R. Harvey; Robin L. Lumsdaine
发表日期1999-07-01
出版年1999
语种英语
摘要We study the interrelationship between capital flows, returns, dividend yields and world interest rates in 20 emerging markets. We estimate a vector autoregressionn with these variables to measure the degree to which lower interest rates contribute to increased capital flows and shocks in flows affect the cost of capital among other dynamic relations. We precede the VAR analysis by a detailed examination of endogenous break points in capital flows and the other variables. These structural breaks are traced to the liberalization of emerging equity markets. Our evidence of structural breaks call into question past research which estimates VAR models over the full sample. After a liberalization, we find that equity flows increase by 1.4% of market capitalization. We also show that shocks in equity flows initially increase returns which is consistent with a price pressure hypothesis. While the effect is diminished over time, there also appears to be a permenant impact. This is consistent with our finding that our proxy for the cost of capital, dividend yields, decreases. Finally, our analysis of the transitition dynamics from pre-liberalization to post-liberalization suggests that when capital leaves, it leaves faster than it came in. These results may help us understand the dynamics of the recent crises in Latin America and East Asia.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w7219
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/564752
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Geert Bekaert,Campbell R. Harvey,Robin L. Lumsdaine. The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows. 1999.
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