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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w7219 |
来源ID | Working Paper 7219 |
The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows | |
Geert Bekaert; Campbell R. Harvey; Robin L. Lumsdaine | |
发表日期 | 1999-07-01 |
出版年 | 1999 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We study the interrelationship between capital flows, returns, dividend yields and world interest rates in 20 emerging markets. We estimate a vector autoregressionn with these variables to measure the degree to which lower interest rates contribute to increased capital flows and shocks in flows affect the cost of capital among other dynamic relations. We precede the VAR analysis by a detailed examination of endogenous break points in capital flows and the other variables. These structural breaks are traced to the liberalization of emerging equity markets. Our evidence of structural breaks call into question past research which estimates VAR models over the full sample. After a liberalization, we find that equity flows increase by 1.4% of market capitalization. We also show that shocks in equity flows initially increase returns which is consistent with a price pressure hypothesis. While the effect is diminished over time, there also appears to be a permenant impact. This is consistent with our finding that our proxy for the cost of capital, dividend yields, decreases. Finally, our analysis of the transitition dynamics from pre-liberalization to post-liberalization suggests that when capital leaves, it leaves faster than it came in. These results may help us understand the dynamics of the recent crises in Latin America and East Asia. |
主题 | International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w7219 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/564752 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Geert Bekaert,Campbell R. Harvey,Robin L. Lumsdaine. The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows. 1999. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w7219.pdf(1887KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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