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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w7310
来源IDWorking Paper 7310
What Inventory Behavior Tells Us About Business Cycles
Mark Bils; James A. Kahn
发表日期1999-08-01
出版年1999
语种英语
摘要Manufacturers' finished goods inventories move less than shipments over the business cycle. We argue that this requires marginal cost to be more procyclical than is conventionally measured. We construct, for six manufacturing industries, alternative measures of marginal cost that attribute high-frequency productivity shocks to procyclical work effort, and find that they are much more successful in accounting for inventory behavior. The difference is attributable to cyclicality in the shadow price of labor, not to diminishing returns in fact, parametric evidence suggests that the short-run slope of marginal cost is close to zero for five of the six industries. Moreover, while our measures of marginal cost are procyclical relative to output price, they are too persistent for intertemporal substitution to be important. We conclude that countercyclical markups are chiefly responsible for the sluggish response of inventory stocks over the cycle.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w7310
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/564848
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GB/T 7714
Mark Bils,James A. Kahn. What Inventory Behavior Tells Us About Business Cycles. 1999.
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