| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w7476 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 7476 |
| Preserving the Ocean Circulation: Implications for Climate Policy | |
| Klaus Keller; Kelvin Tan; Francois M.M. Morel; David F. Bradford | |
| 发表日期 | 2000 |
| 出版年 | 2000 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Climate modelers have recognized the possibility of abrupt climate changes caused by a reorganization of the North Atlantic's current pattern (technically known as a thermohaline circulation collapse). This circulation system now warms north-western Europe and transports carbon dioxide to the deep oceans. The posited collapse of this system could produce severe cooling in north-western Europe, even when general global warming is in progress. In this paper we use a simple integrated assessment model to investigate the optimal policy response to this risk. Adding the constraint of avoiding a thermohaline circulation collapse would significantly reduce the allowable greenhouse gas emissions in the long run along an optimal path. Our analysis implies that relatively small damages associated with a collapse (less than 1 % of gross world product) would justify a considerable reduction of future carbon dioxide emissions. |
| 主题 | Environmental and Resource Economics ; Renewable Resources |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w7476 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/565022 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Klaus Keller,Kelvin Tan,Francois M.M. Morel,et al. Preserving the Ocean Circulation: Implications for Climate Policy. 2000. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w7476.pdf（279KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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