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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w7490
来源IDWorking Paper 7490
Robust Monetary Policy Under Model Uncertainty in a Small Model of the U.S. Economy
Alexei Onatski; James H. Stock
发表日期2000
出版年2000
语种英语
摘要This paper examines monetary policy in Rudebusch and Svensson's (1999) two equation macroeconomic model when the policymaker recognizes that the model is an approximation and is uncertain about the quality of that approximation. It is argued that the minimax approach of robust control provides a general and tractable alternative to the conventional Bayesian decision theoretic approach. Robust control techniques are used to construct robust monetary policies. In most (but not all) cases, these robust policies are more aggressive than the optimal policies absent model uncertainty. The specific robust policies depend strongly on the formation of model uncertainty used, and we make some suggestions about which formulation is most relevant for monetary policy applications.
主题Macroeconomics ; Monetary Policy ; Econometrics ; Estimation Methods
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w7490
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/565036
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Alexei Onatski,James H. Stock. Robust Monetary Policy Under Model Uncertainty in a Small Model of the U.S. Economy. 2000.
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