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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w7652
来源IDWorking Paper 7652
Aggregate Price Shocks and Financial Instability: An Historical Analysis
Michael D. Bordo; Michael J. Dueker; David C. Wheelock
发表日期2000-04-01
出版年2000
语种英语
摘要This paper presents empirical evidence on the hypothesis that aggregate price disturbances cause or worsen financial instability. We construct two annual indexes of financial conditions for the United States covering 1790-1997, and estimate the effect of aggregate price shocks on each index using a dynamic ordered probit model. We find that price level shocks contributed to financial instability during 1790-1933, and that inflation rate shocks contributed to financial instability during 1980-97. Our research indicates that the size of the aggregate price shocks needed to substantially alter financial conditions depends on the institutional environment, but that a monetary policy focused on price stability would be conducive to financial stability.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w7652
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/565207
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GB/T 7714
Michael D. Bordo,Michael J. Dueker,David C. Wheelock. Aggregate Price Shocks and Financial Instability: An Historical Analysis. 2000.
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