G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w8023
来源IDWorking Paper 8023
Generalized Solow-Neutral Technical Progress and Postwar Economic Growth
Michael J. Boskin; Lawrence J. Lau
发表日期2000-12-01
出版年2000
语种英语
摘要Using revised, updated, and consistent annual post-World War II data from the G-7 countries developed by us, we econometrically estimate and test alternative explanations of the structure of economic growth in a model with three inputs tangible capital, labor, and human capital which permits the identification of the magnitudes of and biases in both returns to scale and technical progress. We find: 1. Technical progress is simultaneously purely tangible capital and human capital augmenting, that is, generalized Solow-neutral.' This finding provides an alternative explanation of the slow pace of convergence in real GDP per capita: the benefits from technical progress depend directly on the levels of tangible and human capital; countries with higher levels of capital realize higher rates of technical progress.2. Technical progress has been capital, not labor, saving and thus is not a cause of systemic structural unemployment. 3. Technical progress accounts for more than 50 percent of the economic growth of the G-7 countries except Canada. Tangible capital input is next most important; together with technical progress, they account for three quarters or more of the growth of real output in the G-7 countries, except Canada. 4. The most important source of the growth slowdown since the mid-1970's decline in the rate of capital (both tangible and human)-augmenting technical progress.
主题Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Growth and Productivity
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w8023
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/565615
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Michael J. Boskin,Lawrence J. Lau. Generalized Solow-Neutral Technical Progress and Postwar Economic Growth. 2000.
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