G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w8566
来源IDWorking Paper 8566
A Multivariate Model of Strategic Asset Allocation
John Y. Campbell; Yeung Lewis Chan; Luis M. Viceira
发表日期2001-10-01
出版年2001
语种英语
摘要Much recent work has documented evidence for predictability of asset returns. We show how such predictability can affect the portfolio choices of long-lived investors who value wealth not for its own sake but for the consumption their wealth can support. We develop an approximate solution method for the optimal consumption and portfolio choice problem of an infinitely-lived investor with Epstein-Zin utility who faces a set of asset returns described by a vector autoregression in returns and state variables. Empirical estimates in long-run annual and postwar quarterly US data suggest that the predictability of stock returns greatly increases the optimal demand for stocks. The role of nominal bonds in long-term portfolios depends on the importance of real interest rate risk relative to other sources of risk. We extend the analysis to consider long-term inflation-indexed bonds and find that these bonds greatly increase the utility of conservative investors, who should hold large positions when they are available.
主题Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w8566
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/566170
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GB/T 7714
John Y. Campbell,Yeung Lewis Chan,Luis M. Viceira. A Multivariate Model of Strategic Asset Allocation. 2001.
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