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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w8626
来源IDWorking Paper 8626
Estimation of a Dynamic Auction Game
Mireia Jofre-Bonet; Martin Pesendorfer
发表日期2001-12-01
出版年2001
语种英语
摘要This paper proposes an estimation method for a repeated auction game under the presence of capacity contraints. The estimation strategy is computationally simple as it does not require solving for the equilibrium of the game. It uses a two stage approach. In the first stage the distribution of bids conditional on state variables is estimated using data on bids, bidder characteristics and contract characteristics. In the second stage, an expression of the expected sum of future profits based on the distribution of bids is obtained, and costs are inferred based on the first order condition of optimal bids. We apply the estimation method to repeated highway construction procurement auctions in the state of California between May 1996 and May 1999. In this market, previously won uncompleted contracts reduce the probability of winning further contracts. We quantify the effect of intertemporal constraints on bidders' costs and on bids. Due to the intertemporal effect and also to bidder asymmetry, the auction can be inefficient. Based on the estimates of costs, we quantify efficiency losses.
主题Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; Economics of Information
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w8626
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/566232
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mireia Jofre-Bonet,Martin Pesendorfer. Estimation of a Dynamic Auction Game. 2001.
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