G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w8993
来源IDWorking Paper 8993
The Impact of Unionization on Establishment Closure: A Regression Discontinuity Analysis of Representation Elections
John DiNardo; David S. Lee
发表日期2002-06-13
出版年2002
语种英语
摘要Using data on more than 27,000 establishments (1983-1999) in the United States, this paper produces estimates of the causal effect of unionization of employer closure by exploiting the fact that most employers become 'unionized' as a partial consequence of a secret ballot election among the workers. If employers where unions barely won the election (e.g. by one vote) are ex ante comparable in all other ways to employers where unions barely lost (by one vote), differences in their subsequent outcomes should represent the true impact of union recognition. The regression discontinuity analysis finds little or no union effect on short- and long-run employer survival rates over 1- to 18-year horizons. We thus conclude that evidence of large effects of unions would more likely be found 1) along the within-employer (intensive margin) of employment and/or 2) in analyses of union threat effects.
主题Labor Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w8993
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/566601
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GB/T 7714
John DiNardo,David S. Lee. The Impact of Unionization on Establishment Closure: A Regression Discontinuity Analysis of Representation Elections. 2002.
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