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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w9073 |
来源ID | Working Paper 9073 |
Price Uncertainty, Tax Policy, and Addiction: Evidence and Implications | |
Mark Coppejans; Holger Sieg | |
发表日期 | 2002-07-18 |
出版年 | 2002 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Consumption of addictive goods is subject to habit formation. Forward-looking individuals must, therefore, be concerned about future prices when making current consumption decisions. We study prices for tobacco products based on a unique data set provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Our empirical findings suggest that prices have been highly volatile during the past decade. Price uncertainty has a potentially large impact on the economic well-being of young individuals with relatively low levels of disposable income. We develop a model to study consumption of addictive substances under price uncertainty. Our results indicate that optimal decision rules of low income individuals can crucially depend on subjective beliefs about future prices and the length of the planning horizon. These results imply that tax policies are most effective in reducing teenage cigarette consumption if they credibly alter individuals' beliefs about future prices. |
主题 | Econometrics ; Data Collection ; Microeconomics ; Economics of Information |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w9073 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/566682 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mark Coppejans,Holger Sieg. Price Uncertainty, Tax Policy, and Addiction: Evidence and Implications. 2002. |
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w9073.pdf(288KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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