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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w9073
来源IDWorking Paper 9073
Price Uncertainty, Tax Policy, and Addiction: Evidence and Implications
Mark Coppejans; Holger Sieg
发表日期2002-07-18
出版年2002
语种英语
摘要Consumption of addictive goods is subject to habit formation. Forward-looking individuals must, therefore, be concerned about future prices when making current consumption decisions. We study prices for tobacco products based on a unique data set provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Our empirical findings suggest that prices have been highly volatile during the past decade. Price uncertainty has a potentially large impact on the economic well-being of young individuals with relatively low levels of disposable income. We develop a model to study consumption of addictive substances under price uncertainty. Our results indicate that optimal decision rules of low income individuals can crucially depend on subjective beliefs about future prices and the length of the planning horizon. These results imply that tax policies are most effective in reducing teenage cigarette consumption if they credibly alter individuals' beliefs about future prices.
主题Econometrics ; Data Collection ; Microeconomics ; Economics of Information
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w9073
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/566682
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Mark Coppejans,Holger Sieg. Price Uncertainty, Tax Policy, and Addiction: Evidence and Implications. 2002.
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