G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w9130
来源IDWorking Paper 9130
Modeling Health Insurance Expansions: Effects of Alternate Approaches
Dahlia K. Remler; Joshua Graff Zivin; Sherry A. Glied
发表日期2002-08-29
出版年2002
语种英语
摘要Estimates of the costs and consequences of many types of public policy proposals play an important role in the development and adoption of particular policy programs. Estimates of the same, or similar, policies that employ different modeling approaches can yield widely divergent results. Such divergence often undermines effective policy-making. These problems are particularly prominent for health insurance expansion programs. Concern focuses on predictions of the numbers of individuals that will be insured and the costs of the proposals. Several different simulation modeling approaches are used to predict these effects, making the predictions difficult to compare. In this paper, we do the following: (1) We categorize and describe the different approaches used; (2) we explain the conceptual and theoretical relationships between the methods; (3) we demonstrate empirically an example of the (quite restrictive) conditions under which all approaches can yield quantitatively identical predictions; and (4) we empirically demonstrate conditions under which the approaches diverge and the quantitative extent of that divergence. All modeling approaches implicitly make assumptions about functional form that impose restrictions on unobservable heterogeneity. Those assumptions can dramatically affect the quantitative predictions made.
主题Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Public Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w9130
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/566741
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Dahlia K. Remler,Joshua Graff Zivin,Sherry A. Glied. Modeling Health Insurance Expansions: Effects of Alternate Approaches. 2002.
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