G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w9174
来源IDWorking Paper 9174
Coordination, Fair Treatment and Inflation Persistence
John C. Driscoll; Steinar Holden
发表日期2002-09-01
出版年2002
语种英语
摘要Most wage-contracting models with rational expectations fail to replicate the persistence in inflation observed in the data. We argue that coordination problems and multiple equilibria are the keys to explaining inflation persistence. We develop a wage-contracting model in which workers are concerned about being treated fairly. This model generates a continuum of equilibria (consistent with a range for the rate of unemployment), where workers want to match the wage set by other workers. If workers' expectations are based on the past behavior of wage growth, these beliefs will be self-fulfilling and thus rational. Based on quarterly U.S. data over the period 1955-2000, we find evidence that inflation is more persistent between unemployment rates of 4.7 and 6.5 percent, than outside these bounds, as predicted by our model.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w9174
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/566786
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John C. Driscoll,Steinar Holden. Coordination, Fair Treatment and Inflation Persistence. 2002.
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