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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w9434
来源IDWorking Paper 9434
The Price Impact and Survival of Irrational Traders
Leonid Kogan; Stephen Ross; Jiang Wang; Mark Westerfield
发表日期2003-01-13
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要Milton Friedman argued that irrational traders will consistently lose money, won't survive and, therefore, cannot influence long run equilibrium asset prices. Since his work, survival and price influence have been assumed to be the same. Often partial equilibrium analysis has been relied upon to examine the survival of irrational traders and to make inferences on their influence on prices. In this paper, we demonstrate that survival and influence on prices are two independent concepts. The price impact of irrational traders does not rely on their long-run survival and they can have a significant impact on asset prices even when their wealth becomes negligible. In addition, in contrast to a partial equilibrium analysis, general equilibrium considerations matter since the ability of irrational traders to impact prices even when their wealth is diminishing can significantly affect their chances for long-run survival. In sum, in a long-run equilibrium, we explicitly show that price impact can occur whether or not the irrational traders survive. In related work, we show that even if the irrational traders survive they may have no price impact.
主题Financial Economics ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w9434
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567053
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Leonid Kogan,Stephen Ross,Jiang Wang,et al. The Price Impact and Survival of Irrational Traders. 2003.
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