G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w9544
来源IDWorking Paper 9544
Analysts' Conflict of Interest and Biases in Earnings Forecasts
Louis K. C. Chan; Jason Karceski; Josef Lakonishok
发表日期2003-03-10
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要Analysts' earnings forecasts are influenced by their desire to win investment banking clients. We hypothesize that the equity bull market of the 1990s, along with the boom in investment banking business, exacerbated analysts' conflict of interest and their incentives to adjust strategically forecasts to avoid earnings disappointments. We document shifts in the distribution of earnings surprises, the market's response to surprises and forecast revisions, and in the predictability of non-negative surprises. Further confirmation is based on subsamples where conflicts of interest are more pronounced, including growth stocks and stocks with consecutive non-negative surprises; however shifts are less notable in international markets.
主题Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w9544
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567166
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Louis K. C. Chan,Jason Karceski,Josef Lakonishok. Analysts' Conflict of Interest and Biases in Earnings Forecasts. 2003.
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