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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w9648
来源IDWorking Paper 9648
Effectiveness of Official Daily Foreign Exchange Market Intervention Operations in Japan
Rasmus Fatum; Michael Hutchison
发表日期2003-04-28
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要Japanese official intervention in the foreign exchange market is of by far the largest magnitude in the world, despite little or no evidence that it is effective in moving exchange rates. This paper investigates the effectiveness of intervention using recently published Japanese official daily data and an event study methodology. Focusing on daily Japanese and US official intervention operations, we identify separate intervention episodes' and analyze the subsequent effect on the exchange rate. Using the non-parametric sign test and matched-sample test, we find strong evidence that sterilized intervention systemically affects the exchange rate in the short-run (less than one month). This result holds even when intervention is not associated with (simultaneous) interest rate changes, whether or not intervention is secret' (in the sense of no official reports or rumors of intervention reported over the newswires), and against other robustness checks. Large-scale (amounts over $1 billion) intervention, coordinated with the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve working in unison, give the highest success rate
主题International Economics ; International Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w9648
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567272
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Rasmus Fatum,Michael Hutchison. Effectiveness of Official Daily Foreign Exchange Market Intervention Operations in Japan. 2003.
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