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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w9677 |
来源ID | Working Paper 9677 |
Do Demographic Changes Affect Risk Premiums? Evidence from International Data | |
Andrew Ang; Angela Maddaloni | |
发表日期 | 2003-05-12 |
出版年 | 2003 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We examine the link between equity risk premiums and demographic changes using a very long sample over the twentieth century for the US, Japan, UK, Germany and France, and a shorter sample covering the last third of the twentieth century for fifteen countries. We find that demographic variables significantly predict excess returns internationally. However, the demographic predictability found in the US by past studies for the average age of the population does not extend to other countries. Pooling international data, we find that, on average, faster growth in the fraction of retired persons significantly decreases risk premiums. This demographic predictability of risk premiums is strongest in countries with well-developed social security systems and lesser-developed financial markets. |
主题 | Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w9677 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567301 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Andrew Ang,Angela Maddaloni. Do Demographic Changes Affect Risk Premiums? Evidence from International Data. 2003. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w9677.pdf(370KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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