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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w9677
来源IDWorking Paper 9677
Do Demographic Changes Affect Risk Premiums? Evidence from International Data
Andrew Ang; Angela Maddaloni
发表日期2003-05-12
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要We examine the link between equity risk premiums and demographic changes using a very long sample over the twentieth century for the US, Japan, UK, Germany and France, and a shorter sample covering the last third of the twentieth century for fifteen countries. We find that demographic variables significantly predict excess returns internationally. However, the demographic predictability found in the US by past studies for the average age of the population does not extend to other countries. Pooling international data, we find that, on average, faster growth in the fraction of retired persons significantly decreases risk premiums. This demographic predictability of risk premiums is strongest in countries with well-developed social security systems and lesser-developed financial markets.
主题Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w9677
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567301
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Andrew Ang,Angela Maddaloni. Do Demographic Changes Affect Risk Premiums? Evidence from International Data. 2003.
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