| 来源类型 | Working Paper
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| 规范类型 | 报告
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| DOI | 10.3386/w9936
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| 来源ID | Working Paper 9936
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| On the Duration of Trade |
| Tibor Besedes; Thomas J. Prusa
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| 发表日期 | 2003-09-01
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| 出版年 | 2003
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | This paper employs survival analysis to study the duration of US imports. We find that the median duration of exporting a product to the US is very short, on the order to two to four years. Our results also indicate that there is negative duration dependence meaning that if a country is able to survive in the exporting market for the first few years it will face a very small probability of failure and will export the product for a long period of time. This result holds across countries and industries. We find that our results are not only robust to aggregation but are strengthened by aggregation. That is, as we aggregate from product level trade data to SITC industry level trade data the estimated survival increases. We rank countries by their survival experience and show that our rankings are strongly correlated with the rankings in Feenstra and Rose (2002), implying that product cycle followers also experience particularly short duration. |
| 主题 | International Economics
; Trade
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| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w9936
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| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567561
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Tibor Besedes,Thomas J. Prusa. On the Duration of Trade. 2003.
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文件名：
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w9936.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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