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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w10105
来源IDWorking Paper 10105
Nonparametric Tests for Common Values at First-Price Sealed-Bid Auctions
Philip A. Haile; Han Hong; Matthew Shum
发表日期2003-11-17
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要We develop tests for common values at first-price sealed-bid auctions. Our tests are nonparametric, require observation only of the bids submitted at each auction, and are based on the fact that the winner's curse' arises only in common values auctions. The tests build on recently developed methods for using observed bids to estimate each bidder's conditional expectation of the value of winning the auction. Equilibrium behavior implies that in a private values auction these expectations are invariant to the number of opponents each bidder faces, while with common values they are decreasing in the number of opponents. This distinction forms the basis of our tests. We consider both exogenous and endogenous variation in the number of bidders. Monte Carlo experiments show that our tests can perform well in samples of moderate sizes. We apply our tests to two different types of U.S. Forest Service timber auctions. For unit-price ( scaled') sales often argued to fit a private values model, our tests consistently fail to find evidence of common values. For lumpsum' sales, where a priori arguments for common values appear stronger, our tests yield mixed evidence against the private values hypothesis.
主题Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; Economics of Information
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w10105
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567733
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GB/T 7714
Philip A. Haile,Han Hong,Matthew Shum. Nonparametric Tests for Common Values at First-Price Sealed-Bid Auctions. 2003.
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