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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w10173
来源IDWorking Paper 10173
The Impacts of an East Asia FTA on Foreign Trade in East Asia
Shujiro Urata; Kozo Kiyota
发表日期2003-12-22
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要This paper attempts to examine the impact of an East Asia FTA on trade patterns in East Asia by using a multi-sector computable general equilibrium model. The model used in this analysis is the standard GTAP model and GTAP database developed by Hertel (1997) and his colleagues of Purdue University. Our findings are summarized as follows: First, the impacts of an East Asia FTA on GDP and welfare of member countries are generally positive, while the impacts on non-members are negative. Second and surprisingly, the FTA does not seem to affect much on the patterns of comparative advantage or intra-industry trade. Third, production of the sectors with a comparative advantage increases. Fourth, unexpectedly exports of protected sectors increase, reflecting a shift in incentives from domestic sales to export sales. Finally, an East Asia FTA will promote regionalization in East Asia but it will not necessarily promote regionalization in AFTA.
主题International Economics ; Trade
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w10173
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567801
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Shujiro Urata,Kozo Kiyota. The Impacts of an East Asia FTA on Foreign Trade in East Asia. 2003.
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