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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w10193 |
来源ID | Working Paper 10193 |
Varieties of Currency Crises | |
Graciela L. Kaminsky | |
发表日期 | 2003-12-29 |
出版年 | 2003 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The plethora of currency crises around the world has fueled many theories on the causes of speculative attacks. The first-generation models focus on fiscal problems. The second-generation models emphasize countercyclical policies and self-fulfilling crises. In the 1990s, models pinpoint to financial excesses. With the crisis of Argentina in 2001, models of sovereign default have become popular again. While the theoretical literature has emphasized variety, the empirical literature has supported the one size fits all' models. This paper contributes to the empirical literature by assessing whether the crises of the last thirty years are of different varieties. Crises are found to be of six varieties. Four of those varieties are associated with domestic economic fragility. But crises can also be provoked by just adverse world market conditions, such as the reversal of international capital flows. The so-called sudden-stop phenomenon identifies the fifth variety of crises. Finally, a small number of crises occur in economies with immaculate fundamentals but this type of crises is not an emerging-market phenomenon. |
主题 | International Economics ; International Finance |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w10193 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567821 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Graciela L. Kaminsky. Varieties of Currency Crises. 2003. |
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w10193.pdf(250KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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