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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w10257
来源IDWorking Paper 10257
Is There a Retirement-Consumption Puzzle? Evidence Using Subjective Retirement Expectations
Steven Haider; Melvin Stephens Jr.
发表日期2004-02-02
出版年2004
语种英语
摘要Previous research finds a systematic decrease in consumption at retirement, a finding that is inconsistent with the Life-Cycle/Permanent Income Hypothesis if retirement is an expected event. In this paper, we use workers' subjective beliefs about their retirement dates as an instrument for retirement. After demonstrating that subjective retirement expectations are strong predictors of subsequent retirement decisions, we still find a retirement consumption decline for workers who retire when expected. However, our estimates of this consumption fall are about a third less than those found when we instead rely on the instrumental variables strategy used in prior studies. Finally, we examine a number of hypotheses that have been put forward to explain the retirement consumption decline. We find little empirical support for these explanations in our data.
主题Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Behavioral Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w10257
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567886
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Steven Haider,Melvin Stephens Jr.. Is There a Retirement-Consumption Puzzle? Evidence Using Subjective Retirement Expectations. 2004.
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