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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w10362
来源IDWorking Paper 10362
Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching
Troy Davig; Eric M. Leeper; Hess Chung
发表日期2004-03-15
出版年2004
语种英语
摘要A growing body of evidence finds that policy reaction functions vary substantially over different periods in the United States. This paper explores how moving to an environment in which monetary and fiscal regimes evolve according to a Markov process can change the impacts of policy shocks. In one regime monetary policy follows the Taylor principle and taxes rise strongly with debt; in another regime the Taylor principle fails to hold and taxes are exogenous. An example shows that a unique bounded non-Ricardian equilibrium exists in this environment. A computational model illustrates that because agents' decision rules embed the probability that policies will change in the future, monetary and tax shocks always produce wealth effects. When it is possible that fiscal policy will be unresponsive to debt at times, active monetary policy (like a Taylor rule) in one regime is not sufficient to insulate the economy against tax shocks in that regime and it can have the unintended consequence of amplifying and propagating the aggregate demand effects of tax shocks. The paper also considers the implications of policy switching for two empirical issues.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w10362
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/567991
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GB/T 7714
Troy Davig,Eric M. Leeper,Hess Chung. Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching. 2004.
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