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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w10539 |
来源ID | Working Paper 10539 |
Political Budget Cycles in New versus Established Democracies | |
Adi Brender; Allan Drazen | |
发表日期 | 2004-06-07 |
出版年 | 2004 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Like other recent studies, we find the existence of a political deficit cycle in a large cross-section of countries. However, we find that this result is driven by the experience of new democracies'. The strong budget cycle in those countries accounts for the finding of a budget cycle in larger samples that include these countries; when these countries are removed from the larger sample, so that only established' democracies remain, the political budget cycle disappears. The political deficit cycle in new democracies accounts for findings in both developed and less developed economies, for the finding that the cycle is stronger in weaker democracies, and for differences in the political cycle across governmental and electoral systems. Our findings may reconcile two contradictory views of pre-electoral manipulation, one arguing it is a useful instrument to gain voter support and a widespread empirical phenomenon, the other arguing that voters punish rather than reward fiscal manipulation. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w10539 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568168 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Adi Brender,Allan Drazen. Political Budget Cycles in New versus Established Democracies. 2004. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w10539.pdf(634KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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