G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w10781
来源IDWorking Paper 10781
Financing Consumption in an Aging Japan: The Role of Foreign Capital Inflows in Immigration
Robert Dekle
发表日期2004-09-20
出版年2004
语种英语
摘要We project the impact of demographic change on Japanese capital flows by simulating the impact of population aging on Japanese saving and investment rates. As aging depresses saving rates, in our baseline projections, we show that by 2015, foreign capital inflows will comprise about 15 percent of Japanese output. A distinguishing feature of this paper is that we compare the capital flows that occur without immigration to the capital inflows that would occur with immigration of 400,000 people annually. With the larger labor force from immigration and the larger induced capital accumulation, output will be 22 percent higher by 2020, and 50 percent higher by 2040. The higher output means that less capital needs to be imported; by 2015, Japan will be importing only 8 percent of its output.
主题International Economics ; International Factor Mobility ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w10781
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568413
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Robert Dekle. Financing Consumption in an Aging Japan: The Role of Foreign Capital Inflows in Immigration. 2004.
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