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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w10790 |
来源ID | Working Paper 10790 |
Putting the Brakes on Sudden Stops: The Financial Frictions-Moral Hazard Tradeoff of Asset Price Guarantees | |
Enrique G. Mendoza; Ceyhun Bora Durdu | |
发表日期 | 2004-09-27 |
出版年 | 2004 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The hypothesis that Sudden Stops to capital inflows in emerging economies may be caused by global capital market frictions, such as collateral constraints and trading costs, suggests that Sudden Stops could be prevented by offering price guarantees on the emerging-markets asset class. Providing these guarantees is a risky endeavor, however, because they introduce a moral-hazard-like incentive similar to those that are also viewed as a cause of emerging markets crises. This paper studies this financial frictions-moral hazard tradeoff using an equilibrium asset-pricing model in which margin constraints, trading costs, and ex-ante price guarantees interact in the determination of asset prices and macroeconomic dynamics. In the absence of guarantees, margin calls and trading costs create distortions that produce Sudden Stops driven by occasionally binding credit constraints and Irving Fisher's debt-deflation mechanism. Price guarantees contain the asset deflation by creating another distortion that props up the foreign investors' demand for emerging markets assets. Quantitative simulation analysis shows the strong interaction of these two distortions in driving the dynamics of asset prices, consumption and the current account. Price guarantees are found to be effective for containing Sudden Stops but at the cost of introducing potentially large distortions that could lead to 'overvaluation' of emerging markets assets. |
主题 | International Economics ; International Macroeconomics ; International Finance ; Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Microeconomics ; General Equilibrium |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w10790 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568422 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Enrique G. Mendoza,Ceyhun Bora Durdu. Putting the Brakes on Sudden Stops: The Financial Frictions-Moral Hazard Tradeoff of Asset Price Guarantees. 2004. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w10790.pdf(1396KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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