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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w10934
来源IDWorking Paper 10934
A Simulation Approach to Dynamic Portfolio Choice with an Application to Learning About Return Predictability
Michael W. Brandt; Amit Goyal; Pedro Santa-Clara; Jonathan Storud
发表日期2004-11-29
出版年2004
语种英语
摘要We present a simulation-based method for solving discrete-time portfolio choice problems involving non-standard preferences, a large number of assets with arbitrary return distribution, and, most importantly, a large number of state variables with potentially path-dependent or non-stationary dynamics. The method is flexible enough to accommodate intermediate consumption, portfolio constraints, parameter and model uncertainty, and learning. We first establish the properties of the method for the portfolio choice between a stock index and cash when the stock returns are either iid or predictable by the dividend yield. We then explore the problem of an investor who takes into account the predictability of returns but is uncertain about the parameters of the data generating process. The investor chooses the portfolio anticipating that future data realizations will contain useful information to learn about the true parameter values.
主题Financial Economics ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w10934
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568569
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GB/T 7714
Michael W. Brandt,Amit Goyal,Pedro Santa-Clara,et al. A Simulation Approach to Dynamic Portfolio Choice with an Application to Learning About Return Predictability. 2004.
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