G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w10941
来源IDWorking Paper 10941
When in Peril, Retrench: Testing the Portfolio Channel of Contagion
Fernando A. Broner; R. Gaston Gelos; Carmen Reinhart
发表日期2004-12-06
出版年2004
语种英语
摘要One plausible mechanism through which financial market shocks may propagate across countries is through the effect of past gains and losses on investors' risk aversion. The paper first presents a simple model examining how heterogeneous changes in investors' risk aversion affects portfolio decisions and stock prices. Second, the paper shows empirically that, when funds' returns are below average, they adjust their holdings toward the average (or benchmark) portfolio. In other words, they tend to sell the assets of countries in which they were "overweight", increasing their exposure to countries in which they were "underweight." Based on this insight, the paper discusses a matrix of financial interdependence reflecting the extent to which countries share overexposed funds. Comparing this measure to indices of trade or bank linkages indicates that our index can improve predictions about which countries are likely to be affected by contagion from crisis centers.
主题International Economics ; International Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w10941
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568576
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Fernando A. Broner,R. Gaston Gelos,Carmen Reinhart. When in Peril, Retrench: Testing the Portfolio Channel of Contagion. 2004.
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