| 来源类型 | Working Paper
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| 规范类型 | 报告
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| DOI | 10.3386/w11125
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| 来源ID | Working Paper 11125
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| RECONSIDERING EXPECTATIONS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AFTER |
| Robert W. Fogel
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| 发表日期 | 2005-02-14
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| 出版年 | 2005
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | At the close of World War II, there were wide-ranging debates about the future of economic developments. Historical experience has since shown that these forecasts were uniformly too pessimistic. Expectations for the American economy focused on the likelihood of secular stagnation; this topic continued to be debated throughout the post-World War II expansion. Concerns raised during the late 1960s and early 1970s about rapid population growth smothering the potential for economic growth in less developed countries were contradicted when during the mid- and late-1970s, fertility rates in third world countries began to decline very rapidly. Predictions that food production would not be able to keep up with population growth have also been proven wrong, as between 1961 and 2000 calories per capita worldwide have increased by 24 percent, despite the doubling of the global population. The extraordinary economic growth in Southeast and East Asia had also been unforeseen by economists. |
| 主题 | Development and Growth
; Development
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| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w11125
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| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568762
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Robert W. Fogel. RECONSIDERING EXPECTATIONS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AFTER. 2005.
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文件名：
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w11125.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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