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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w11133
来源IDWorking Paper 11133
Sudden Stops and Output Drops
V.V. Chari; Patrick Kehoe; Ellen R. McGrattan
发表日期2005-02-14
出版年2005
语种英语
摘要In recent financial crises and in recent theoretical studies of them, abrupt declines in capital inflows, or sudden stops, have been linked with large drops in output. Do sudden stops cause output drops? No, according to a standard equilibrium model in which sudden stops are generated by an abrupt tightening of a country's collateral constraint on foreign borrowing. In this model, in fact, sudden stops lead to output increases, not decreases. An examination of the quantitative effects of a well-known sudden stop, in Mexico in the mid-1990s, confirms that a drop in output accompanying a sudden stop cannot be accounted for by the sudden stop alone. To generate an output drop during a financial crisis, as other studies have done, the model must include other economic frictions which have negative effects on output large enough to overwhelm the positive effect of the sudden stop.
主题International Economics ; International Macroeconomics ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w11133
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568770
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GB/T 7714
V.V. Chari,Patrick Kehoe,Ellen R. McGrattan. Sudden Stops and Output Drops. 2005.
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