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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w11169
来源IDWorking Paper 11169
Explaining Returns with Cash-Flow Proxies
Peter Hecht; Tuomo Vuolteenaho
发表日期2005-03-07
出版年2005
语种英语
摘要Stock returns are correlated with contemporaneous earnings growth, dividend growth, future real activity, and other cash-flow proxies. The correlation between cash-flow proxies and stock returns may arise from association of cash-flow proxies with one-period expected returns, cash-flow news, and/or expected-return news. We use Campbell's (1991) return decomposition to measure the relative importance of these three effects in regressions of returns on cash-flow proxies. In some of the popular specifications, variables that are motivated as proxies for cash-flow news also track a nontrivial proportion of one-period expected returns and expected-return news. As a result, the R2 from a regression of returns on cash-flow proxies may overstate or understate the importance of cash-flow news as a source of return variance.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w11169
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568806
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Peter Hecht,Tuomo Vuolteenaho. Explaining Returns with Cash-Flow Proxies. 2005.
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