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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w11169 |
来源ID | Working Paper 11169 |
Explaining Returns with Cash-Flow Proxies | |
Peter Hecht; Tuomo Vuolteenaho | |
发表日期 | 2005-03-07 |
出版年 | 2005 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Stock returns are correlated with contemporaneous earnings growth, dividend growth, future real activity, and other cash-flow proxies. The correlation between cash-flow proxies and stock returns may arise from association of cash-flow proxies with one-period expected returns, cash-flow news, and/or expected-return news. We use Campbell's (1991) return decomposition to measure the relative importance of these three effects in regressions of returns on cash-flow proxies. In some of the popular specifications, variables that are motivated as proxies for cash-flow news also track a nontrivial proportion of one-period expected returns and expected-return news. As a result, the R2 from a regression of returns on cash-flow proxies may overstate or understate the importance of cash-flow news as a source of return variance. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w11169 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568806 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Peter Hecht,Tuomo Vuolteenaho. Explaining Returns with Cash-Flow Proxies. 2005. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w11169.pdf(327KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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