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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w11288
来源IDWorking Paper 11288
Advanced Purchase Commitments for a Malaria Vaccine: Estimating Costs and Effectiveness
Ernst R. Berndt; Rachel Glennerster; Michael R. Kremer; Jean Lee; Ruth Levine; Georg Weizsacker; Heidi Williams
发表日期2005-05-02
出版年2005
语种英语
摘要To overcome the problem of insufficient research and development (R&D) on vaccines for diseases concentrated in low-income countries, sponsors could commit to purchase viable vaccines if and when they are developed. One or more sponsors would commit to a minimum price that would be paid per person immunized for an eligible product, up to a certain number of individuals immunized. For additional purchases, the price would eventually drop to short-run marginal cost. If no suitable product were developed, no payments would be made. We estimate the offer size which would make the revenues from R&D investments on a malaria vaccine similar to revenues realized from investments in typical existing commercial pharmaceutical products, as well as the degree to which various contract models and assumptions would affect the cost-effectiveness of such a commitment for the case of a malaria vaccine. Under conservative assumptions, we document that the intervention would be highly cost-effective from a public health perspective. Sensitivity analyses suggest most characteristics of a hypothetical malaria vaccine would have little effect on the cost-effectiveness, but that the duration of protection against malaria conferred by a vaccine strongly affects potential cost-effectiveness. Readers can conduct their own sensitivity analyses employing a web-based spreadsheet tool.
主题Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Innovation and R& ; D
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w11288
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/568926
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Ernst R. Berndt,Rachel Glennerster,Michael R. Kremer,et al. Advanced Purchase Commitments for a Malaria Vaccine: Estimating Costs and Effectiveness. 2005.
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