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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w11476
来源IDWorking Paper 11476
Consumption Strikes Back?: Measuring Long-Run Risk
Lars Peter Hansen; John Heaton; Nan Li
发表日期2005-07-11
出版年2005
语种英语
摘要We characterize and measure a long-run risk return tradeoff for the valuation of financial cash flows that are exposed to fluctuations in macroeconomic growth. This tradeoff features components of financial cash flows that are only realized far into the future but are still reflected in current asset values. We use the recursive utility model with empirical inputs from vector autoregressions to quantify this relationship; and we study the long-run risk differences in aggregate securities and in portfolios constructed based on the ratio of book equity to market equity. Finally, we explore the resulting measurement challenges and the implied sensitivity to alternative specifications of stochastic growth.
主题Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w11476
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/569119
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GB/T 7714
Lars Peter Hansen,John Heaton,Nan Li. Consumption Strikes Back?: Measuring Long-Run Risk. 2005.
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