全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Endogenous Fertility, Mortality and Economic Growth: Can a Malthusian Framework Account for the Conflicting Historical Trends in Population?

G2TT

来源类型	Working Paper
规范类型	报告
DOI	10.3386/w11590
来源ID	Working Paper 11590
	Endogenous Fertility, Mortality and Economic Growth: Can a Malthusian Framework Account for the Conflicting Historical Trends in Population?
	Isaac Ehrlich; Jinyoung Kim
发表日期	2005-09-12
出版年	2005
语种	英语
摘要	The 19th century economist, Thomas Robert Malthus, hypothesized that the long-run supply of labor is completely elastic at a fixed wage-income level because population growth tends to outstrip real output growth. Dynamic equilibrium with constant income and population is achieved through equilibrating adjustments in "positive checks" (mortality, starvation) and "preventive checks" (marriage, fertility). Developing economies since the Industrial Revolution, and more recently especially Asian economies, have experienced steady income growth accompanied by sharply falling fertility and mortality rates. We develop a dynamic model of endogenous fertility, longevity, and human capital formation within a Malthusian framework that allows for diminishing returns to labor but also for the role of human capital as an engine of growth. Our model accounts for economic stagnation with high fertility and mortality and constant population and income, as predicted by Malthus, but also for takeoffs to a growth regime and a demographic transition toward low fertility and mortality rates, and a persistent growth in per-capita income.
主题	Development and Growth ; Development ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health
URL	https://www.nber.org/papers/w11590
来源智库	National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/569235
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Isaac Ehrlich,Jinyoung Kim. Endogenous Fertility, Mortality and Economic Growth: Can a Malthusian Framework Account for the Conflicting Historical Trends in Population?. 2005.

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文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
w11590.pdf（248KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览