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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w11735
来源IDWorking Paper 11735
A Portfolio View of Consumer Credit
David K. Musto; Nicholas S. Souleles
发表日期2005-11-07
出版年2005
语种英语
摘要To compute risk-adjusted returns and gauge the volatility of their portfolios, lenders need to know the covariances of their loans' returns with aggregate returns. Cross-sectional differences in these covariances also provide insight into the nature of the shocks hitting different types of consumers. We use a unique panel dataset of credit bureau records to measure the 'covariance risk' of individual consumers, i.e., the covariance of their default risk with aggregate consumer default rates, and more generally to analyze the cross-sectional distribution of credit, including the effects of credit scores. We obtain two key sets of results. First, there is significant systematic heterogeneity in covariance risk across consumers with different characteristics. Consumers with high covariance risk tend to also have low credit scores (high default probabilities). Second, the amount of credit obtained by consumers significantly increases with their credit scores, and significantly decreases with their covariance risk (especially revolving credit), though the effect of covariance risk is smaller in magnitude.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Monetary Policy ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w11735
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/569385
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GB/T 7714
David K. Musto,Nicholas S. Souleles. A Portfolio View of Consumer Credit. 2005.
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