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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w11788
来源IDWorking Paper 11788
Robustness of the Estimates of the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve
Jordi Gali; Mark Gertler; David Lopez-Salido
发表日期2005-11-21
出版年2005
语种英语
摘要Galí and Gertler (1999) developed a hybrid variant of the New Keynesian Phillips curve that relates inflation to real marginal cost, expected future inflation and lagged inflation. GMM estimates of the model suggest that forward looking behavior is dominant: The coefficient on expected future inflation substantially exceeds the coefficient on lagged inflation. While the latter differs significantly from zero, it is quantitatively modest. Several authors have suggested that our results are the product of specification bias or suspect estimation methods. Here we show that these claims are incorrect, and that our results are robust to a variety of estimation procedures, including GMM estimation of the closed form, and nonlinear instrumental variables. Also, as we discuss, many others have obtained very similar results to ours using a systems approach, including FIML techniques. Hence, the conclusions of GG and others regarding the importance of forward looking behavior remain robust.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w11788
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/569439
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Jordi Gali,Mark Gertler,David Lopez-Salido. Robustness of the Estimates of the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve. 2005.
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