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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w11946
来源IDWorking Paper 11946
Assessing the Sources of Changes in the Volatility of Real Growth
Stephen G. Cecchetti; Alfonso Flores-Lagunes; Stefan Krause
发表日期2006-01-23
出版年2006
语种英语
摘要In much of the world, growth is more stable than it once was. Looking at a sample of twentyfive countries, we find that in sixteen, real GDP growth is less volatile today than it was twenty years ago. And these declines are large, averaging more than fifty per cent. What accounts for the fact that real growth has been more stable in recent years? We survey the evidence and competing explanations and find support for the view that improved inventory management policies, coupled with financial innovation, adopting an inflation targeting scheme and increased central bank independence have all been associated with more stable real growth. Furthermore, we find weak evidence suggesting that increased commercial openness has coincided with increased output volatility.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w11946
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/569597
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Stephen G. Cecchetti,Alfonso Flores-Lagunes,Stefan Krause. Assessing the Sources of Changes in the Volatility of Real Growth. 2006.
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