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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w12014
来源IDWorking Paper 12014
Optimal Market Timing
Erica X. N. Li; Dmitry Livdan; Lu Zhang
发表日期2006-02-06
出版年2006
语种英语
摘要We use a fully-specified neoclassical model augmented with costly external equity as a laboratory to study the relations between stock returns and equity financing decisions. Simulations show that the model can simultaneously and in many cases quantitatively reproduce: procyclical equity issuance; the negative relation between aggregate equity share and future stock market returns; long-term underperformance following equity issuance and the positive relation of its magnitude with the volume of issuance; the mean-reverting behavior in the operating performance of issuing firms; and the positive long-term stock price drift of firms distributing cash and its positive relation with book-to-market. We conclude that systematic mispricing seems unnecessary to generate the return-related evidence often interpreted as behavioral underreaction to market timing.
主题Macroeconomics ; Macroeconomic Models ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w12014
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/569665
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GB/T 7714
Erica X. N. Li,Dmitry Livdan,Lu Zhang. Optimal Market Timing. 2006.
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