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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w12571 |
来源ID | Working Paper 12571 |
The Puzzle of the Antebellum Fertility Decline in the United States: New Evidence and Reconsideration | |
Michael R. Haines; J. David Hacker | |
发表日期 | 2006-10-06 |
出版年 | 2006 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | All nations that can be characterized as developed have undergone the demographic transition from high to low levels of fertility and mortality. Most presently developed nations began their fertility transitions in the late nineteenth or early twentieth centuries. The United States was an exception. Evidence using census-based child-woman ratios suggests that the fertility of the white population of the United States was declining from at least the year 1800. By the end of the antebellum period in 1860, child-woman ratios had declined 33 percent. There is also indication that the free black population was experiencing a fertility transition. This transition was well in advance of significant urbanization, industrialization, and mortality decline and well in advance of every other presently developed nation with the exception of France. This paper uses census data on county-level child-woman ratios to test a variety of explanations on the antebellum American fertility transition. It also uses micro data from the IPUMS files for 1850 and 1860. A number of the explanations, including the land availability hypothesis, the local labor market-child default hypothesis, and the life cycle saving hypothesis, are consistent with the data, but nuptiality, not one of the usual explanations, emerges as likely very important. |
主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; History ; Financial History ; Labor and Health History |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w12571 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570232 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Michael R. Haines,J. David Hacker. The Puzzle of the Antebellum Fertility Decline in the United States: New Evidence and Reconsideration. 2006. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w12571.pdf(148KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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