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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w12636 |
来源ID | Working Paper 12636 |
When Bioterrorism Was No Big Deal | |
Patricia E. Beeson; Werner Troesken | |
发表日期 | 2006-10-24 |
出版年 | 2006 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | To better understand the potential economic repercussions of a bioterrorist attack, this paper explores the effects of several catastrophic epidemics that struck American cities between 1690 and 1880. The epidemics considered here killed between 10 and 25 percent of the urban population studied. A particular emphasis is placed on smallpox and yellow fever, both of which have been identified as potential bioterrorist agents. The central findings of the paper are threefold. First, severe localized epidemics did not disrupt, in any permanent way, the population level or long-term growth trajectory of those cities. Non-localized epidemics (i.e., those that struck more than one major city) do appear to have had some negative effect on population levels and long-term growth. There is also modest evidence that ill-advised responses to epidemics on the part of government officials might have had lasting and negative effects in a few cities. Second, severe localized epidemics did not disrupt trade flows; non-localized epidemics had adverse, though fleeting, effects on trade. Third, while severe epidemics probably imposed some modest costs on local and regional economies, these costs were very small relative to the national economy. |
主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; History ; Macroeconomic History |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w12636 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570298 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Patricia E. Beeson,Werner Troesken. When Bioterrorism Was No Big Deal. 2006. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w12636.pdf(510KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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