| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w12796 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 12796 |
| An Economic History of Fertility in the U.S.: 1826-1960 | |
| Larry E. Jones; Michele Tertilt | |
| 发表日期 | 2006-12-22 |
| 出版年 | 2006 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In this paper, we use data from the US census to document the history of the relationship between fertility choice and key economic indicators at the individual level for women born between 1826 and 1960. We find that this data suggests several new facts that should be useful for researchers trying to model fertility. (1) The reduction in fertility known as the Demographic Transition (or the Fertility Transition) seems to be much sharper based on cohort fertility measures compared to usual measures like Total Fertility Rate; (2) The baby boom was not quite as large as is suggested by some previous work; (3) We find a strong negative relationship between income and fertility for all cohorts and estimate an overall income elasticity of about -0.38 for the period; (4) We also find systematic deviations from a time invariant, isoelastic, relationship between income and fertility. The most interesting of these is an increase in the income elasticity of demand for children for the 1876-1880 to 1906-1910 birth cohorts. This implies an increased spread in fertility by income which was followed by a dramatic compression. |
| 主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; History ; Labor and Health History |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w12796 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570459 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Larry E. Jones,Michele Tertilt. An Economic History of Fertility in the U.S.: 1826-1960. 2006. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w12796.pdf（548KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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