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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w12796
来源IDWorking Paper 12796
An Economic History of Fertility in the U.S.: 1826-1960
Larry E. Jones; Michele Tertilt
发表日期2006-12-22
出版年2006
语种英语
摘要In this paper, we use data from the US census to document the history of the relationship between fertility choice and key economic indicators at the individual level for women born between 1826 and 1960. We find that this data suggests several new facts that should be useful for researchers trying to model fertility. (1) The reduction in fertility known as the Demographic Transition (or the Fertility Transition) seems to be much sharper based on cohort fertility measures compared to usual measures like Total Fertility Rate; (2) The baby boom was not quite as large as is suggested by some previous work; (3) We find a strong negative relationship between income and fertility for all cohorts and estimate an overall income elasticity of about -0.38 for the period; (4) We also find systematic deviations from a time invariant, isoelastic, relationship between income and fertility. The most interesting of these is an increase in the income elasticity of demand for children for the 1876-1880 to 1906-1910 birth cohorts. This implies an increased spread in fertility by income which was followed by a dramatic compression.
主题Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; History ; Labor and Health History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w12796
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570459
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Larry E. Jones,Michele Tertilt. An Economic History of Fertility in the U.S.: 1826-1960. 2006.
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