| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w12831 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 12831 |
| Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program | |
| Alberto Abadie; Alexis Diamond; Jens Hainmueller | |
| 发表日期 | 2007-01-19 |
| 出版年 | 2007 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Building on an idea in Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003), this article investigates the application of synthetic control methods to comparative case studies. We discuss the advantages of these methods and apply them to study the effects of Proposition 99, a large-scale tobacco control program that California implemented in 1988. We demonstrate that following Proposition 99 tobacco consumption fell markedly in California relative to a comparable synthetic control region. We estimate that by the year 2000 annual per-capita cigarette sales in California were about 26 packs lower than what they would have been in the absence of Proposition 99. Given that many policy interventions and events of interest in social sciences take place at an aggregate level (countries, regions, cities, etc.) and affect a small number of aggregate units, the potential applicability of synthetic control methods to comparative case studies is very large, especially in situations where traditional regression methods are not appropriate. The methods proposed in this article produce informative inference regardless of the number of available comparison units, the number of available time periods, and whether the data are individual (micro) or aggregate (macro). Software to compute the estimators proposed in this article is available at the authors' web-pages. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Subnational Fiscal Issues ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Other ; Law and Economics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w12831 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570497 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Alberto Abadie,Alexis Diamond,Jens Hainmueller. Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. 2007. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w12831.pdf（319KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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