G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w12881
来源IDWorking Paper 12881
The Demand for Treasury Debt
Arvind Krishnamurthy; Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
发表日期2007-01-30
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要We show that the US Debt/GDP ratio is negatively correlated with the spread between corporate bond yields and Treasury bond yields. The result holds even when controlling for the default risk on corporate bonds. We argue that the corporate bond spread reflects a convenience yield that investors attribute to Treasury debt. Changes in the supply of Treasury debt trace out the demand for convenience by investors. We show that the aggregate demand curve for the convenience provided by Treasury debt is downward sloping and provide estimates of the elasticity of demand. We analyze disaggregated data from the Flow of Funds Accounts of the Federal Reserve and show that individual groups of Treasury holders also have downward sloping demand curves. Even groups with the most elastic demand curves have demand curves that are far from flat. The results have bearing for important questions in finance and macroeconomics. We discuss implications for the behavior of corporate bond spreads, interest rate swap spreads, the riskless interest rate, and the value of aggregate liquidity. We also discuss the implications of our results for the financing of the US deficit, Ricardian equivalence, and the effects of foreign central bank demand on Treasury yields.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w12881
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570547
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GB/T 7714
Arvind Krishnamurthy,Annette Vissing-Jorgensen. The Demand for Treasury Debt. 2007.
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